Smoked Bear

| 5 Comments

Today was a rout for the bulls. The market gapped up and never looked back. Todays's rally brought all the major indices back above their 50-day moving averages. The bulls really need to make a higher high on this move or we may be in danger of making a head & shoulders top. There are a ton of economic reports due out this week so they may very well determine where we head next. Barring any disappointing data, I still think that we're destined to touch 2,000 on the NASDAQ.

5 Comments

At some point this rally's gonna turn. What do you think will signal the correction being under way?

Tom,

I wish I could answer that. I've called so many false tops already.

Mike: take a look at this link: http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=%24vix

I know most folks have given up on tracking the vix but I think there's definitely something happening here: the vix stopped setting new lows at the end of October... note how each of the lows is in an upward progression ... the 50-day line is about flat and hasn't turned upward yet, but something's afoot ... I noted it yesterday when when we got no end-of-session meltup, and when today's end-of-session rally faded.

The minute you stop calling 'em, that's the top.

I think I got sucked into the Matrix. Went long yesterday at the clothes. On the for sure Thanksgiving Rally. I can't help but follow the beautiful music coming from the pipe, as it plays its Thanksgiving lullabye. It's all fun and games until you get to the cliff!

HOOAH!

I wish everybody here a very Happy Thanksgiving!

check out my neighbors in meatspace


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"The quickest way to double your money is to fold it over and put it back in your pocket." ~ Will Rogers
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This page contains a single entry by Michael published on November 24, 2003 6:59 PM.

Battle for the 50 Day Moving Averages was the previous entry in this blog.

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