April 26, 2007 Stock Market Recap

It was a mixed day today with the Nasdaq and Russell up about 0.2% and the S&P ended down almost 0.1%. Volume contracted across the board, which shouldn't be surprising after the big day yesterday. I am starting to notice (what I think are) rising wedges in the indices:

The rising wedge can be one of the most difficult chart patterns to accurately recognize and trade. While it is a consolidation formation, the loss of upside momentum on each successive high gives the pattern its bearish bias. However, the series of higher highs and higher lows keeps the trend inherently bullish. The final break of support indicates that the forces of supply have finally won out and lower prices are likely. There are no measuring techniques to estimate the decline – other aspects of technical analysis should be employed to forecast price targets.

Given the above, I guess I'll just keep an eye on their lower support lines...

The Naz closed at another multi-year high. It's back in short-term overbought territory, where it's spent most of the month.


The pattern of oscillating between range expansion and contraction continued on the S&P today. It got to within 2 points of 1,500 today before falling back.



The Russell had an inside day today although it did make a new all-time closing high.


Trend Table

No changes.

TrendNasdaqS&P 500Russell 2000
PrimaryUpUpUp
IntermediateUpUpUp
Short-termUpUpUp

(+) Indicates an upward reclassification today
(-) Indicates a downward reclassification today
Lat Indicates a Lateral trend

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Quoted

"Novice investors like to put price limits on their buy-and-sell orders. They rarely place market orders. This procedure is poor because the investor is quibbling for eighths and quarters of a point, rather than emphasizing the more important and larger overall movement. Limit orders eventually result in your completely missing the market and not getting out of stocks that should be sold to avoid substantial losses." ~ William O'Neil
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This page contains a single entry by Michael published on April 26, 2007 6:18 PM.

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