March 17, 2008 Stock Market Recap

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Note: I have a doctor's appointment in the morning so there won't be a watchlist tomorrow. Look for post-Fed charts tomorrow evening.

Given how much angst there was over the Bear Stearns fallout I think the bulls have to be happy with how little damage was done to the indices today. The S&P managed to close above that important 1270 level. But, like I said yesterday, we're still left very close to that critical technical level with the reaction to the Fed decision likely to make or break that 1270 support.


Despite all the focus on financials today the Nasdaq, which isn't financial-laden, got hit worse than the S&P. A look under the covers of the Nasdaq-100 shows where the selling took place: FMCN (Chinese advertising) - 27%, APOL -10%, FWLT (Construction in the energy space) -10%, BIDU -8%, UAUA -8%, GENZ & VRTX (bio-wrecks) -5%, ADBE -5.6%, GOOG -4%...


The action in many commodities was toppy today as well. DBA, which is composed of Corn, Wheat, Soybeans and Sugar is working on a double top. It just needs to close beneath the March 10th low, which is 31 cents away, to confirm a double top. Note the bearish divergences in On-Balance Volume and stochastic:


And oil broke its 6-week uptrend today:


Trend Table

no changes

TrendNasdaqS&P 500Russell 2000
PrimaryDownDownDown
IntermediateDownDownDown
Short-termDownDownDown

(+) Indicates an upward reclassification today
(-) Indicates a downward reclassification today
Lat Indicates a Lateral trend

*** I'm simply using the indices' relations to their 200, 50 and 10-day moving averages to tell me the long, intermediate and short-term trends, respectively.

2 Comments

Mike, can you give a quick refresher in what securities you typically trade? Have you been trading commodities (futures or ETFs) lately?

Thanks, bud. 'hope all is well with you.

Jason,

I just trade individual stocks and a rare ETF. Whatever is moving with volume and shows up on my scanner on any given day is fair game.

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"I have two basic rules about winning in trading as well as in life: 1. If you don't bet, you can't win. 2. If you lose all your chips, you can't bet." ~ Larry Hite
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This page contains a single entry by Michael published on March 17, 2008 8:27 PM.

Watchlist for March 17, 2008 was the previous entry in this blog.

March 18, 2008 Stock Market Recap is the next entry in this blog.

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