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May 12, 2008 Stock Market Recap

Buyers really seemed to be on a mission today as they took the market up from the open and pretty much never looked back. The one problem with today’s impressive price gains was that volume was on the light side. The big tests I see coming are the indices at their 200-day moving averages. I think we’ll need much more volume to make it through those important resistance lines.

We saw how the Dow failed at its 200 DMA last week. It looks like the Nasdaq is going to try its luck with its 200 DMA soon — it’s just over 1% away.

The S&P is bouncing right off of its March trendline. That line and the 200 DMA are on a collision course to meet around 1425 in the next couple of weeks, so one of those lines will have to be broken soon.

The small caps look similar to the S&P after climbing back above their March trendline.

Trend Table

All the short-term trends flipped to up today.

Trend Nasdaq S&P 500 Russell 2000
Primary Down Down Down
Intermediate Up Up Up
Short-term Up(+) Up(+) Up(+)

(+) Indicates an upward reclassification today
(-) Indicates a downward reclassification today
Lat Indicates a Lateral trend

*** I’m simply using the indices’ relations to their 200, 50 and 10-day moving averages to tell me the long, intermediate and short-term trends, respectively.

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