June 10, 2008 Stock Market Recap

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The market's still trying to stabilize and find direction after last Friday's big selloff. The indecision was evident today as both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq had inside days.

An inside day is often used to signal indecision because neither the bulls nor the bears are able to send the price beyond the range of the previous day. If an inside day is found at the end of a prolonged downtrend and is located near a level of support, it can be used to signal a bullish shift in trend. Conversely, an inside day found near the end of a prolonged uptrend may suggest that the rally is getting exhausted and is likely to reverse.

As always with range contraction I'm expecting an increase in volatility. These narrow(er) bars/candles often give setups with nice tight stops. (buy above the candle with a stop below or vice versa)



The dollar has had an impressive two days and is likely helping to cool oil off a bit. It's approaching resistance and could be setting up for a breakout.


Trend Table

No changes

TrendNasdaqS&P 500Russell 2000
Long-TermDownDownLat
IntermediateUpDownUp
Short-termDownDownDown

(+) Indicates an upward reclassification today
(-) Indicates a downward reclassification today
Lat Indicates a Lateral trend

*** I'm simply using the indices' relations to their 200, 50 and 10-day moving averages to tell me the long, intermediate and short-term trends, respectively.

1 Comment

mike
i've been so short for months but I think it's time

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Quoted

"The beauty of entering off of narrow range bars is that you risk next to nothing to take a position. It's like being able to play a hand after putting one chip in the pot when the minimum bet is three chips." ~ Chairman MaoXian
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This page contains a single entry by Michael published on June 10, 2008 5:42 PM.

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