December 11, 2008 Stock Market Recap

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Monday night I wrote "On the down side, an obvious target for sellers is to close this morning's gaps." Those gaps finally got closed today on relatively light volume. While the percentage drops were substantial the volume shows a lack of intense selling. This seems like nothing more than a little consolidation after the big run the market's had. Now that those gaps are out of the way my attention has switched to the December trendlines and the 50-day moving averages. Those lines are closing in on each other quickly and price will have to break through one of them soon. I'm not seeing enough setups in individual stocks right now to have much a bias but, gun-to-head, I'd be leaning short.



Trend Table

The short term trends all dropped to lateral today.

TrendNasdaqS&P 500Russell 2000
Long-TermDownDownDown
IntermediateDownDownDown
Short-termLat(-)Lat(-)Lat(-)

(+) Indicates an upward reclassification today
(-) Indicates a downward reclassification today
Lat Indicates a Lateral trend

*** I'm simply using the indices' relations to their 200, 50 and 10-day moving averages to tell me the long, intermediate and short-term trends, respectively.

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"One evening, while having dinner with a fundamentalist, I accidentally knocked a sharp knife off the edge of the table. He watched the knife twirl through the air, as it came to rest with the pointed end sticking into his shoe. "Why didn't you move your foot?" I exclaimed. "I was waiting for it to come back up," he replied." ~ Ed Seykota
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This page contains a single entry by Michael published on December 11, 2008 8:10 PM.

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