February 4 Recap: Rally Fizzles at Resistance

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Today's early rally hit the wall right at resistance levels. I suspect the indices will continue to chop around at least through Friday's jobs report and possibly until whenever the government reveals the stimulus/bad-bank/"bailout 2" plan.

The Nasdaq poked its head above both its 50-day moving average and its downward sloping January trendline but sellers pushed it back below both lines. So it remains inside the triangle/coil it's been building.


The S&P popped above the well-watched 850 level before falling back.


Here's yet another look at Bank of America (BAC). It slid to a new 18 year low today on extremely high volume. It sure seems like it wants to go to zero...


The XLF has resisted following BAC to its January lows and beyond... so far. It looks like it's ready to fail but I guess sellers aren't willing to sell all the financials off ahead of the announcement of the gubbermint's rescue plan (or whatever it's called). But do we get a "sell the news" reaction once that plan's been announced?



Trend Table

no changes

TrendNasdaqS&P 500Russell 2000
Long-TermDownDownDown
IntermediateLatDownDown
Short-termUpLatLat

(+) Indicates an upward reclassification today
(-) Indicates a downward reclassification today
Lat Indicates a Lateral trend

*** I'm simply using the indices' relations to their 200, 50 and 10-day moving averages to tell me the long, intermediate and short-term trends, respectively.

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Quoted

"I set protective stops at the same time I enter a trade. I normally move these stops in to lock in a profit as the trend continues." ~ Ed Seykota
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This page contains a single entry by Michael published on February 4, 2009 5:16 PM.

February 3, 2009 Stock Market Recap was the previous entry in this blog.

February 5 2009 Stock Market Recap is the next entry in this blog.

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