May 15, 2009 Stock Market Recap

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I'm sorry about the lack of posting last week. The site crashed on Tuesday and I just didn't have the energy to rebuild it again. I finally decided to bite the bullet and switch to another blogging platform. The site's functional now but I've got some more tweaking to do and have some old posts to re-upload before it's 100%. So on to the market...

Last week's dip has made the indices the most oversold they've been since the March bottom. It's also made for an interesting trend table (see below). We now have the intermediate-term trends trying to withstand downward long and short-term trend. But that's par for the course when the indices are in no-man's land (what I call the area between the 50 and 200-day moving averages). Given the relatively light volume the end of last week and the oversold stochastic readings I'm expecting a bounce in the short term. Here are charts of the Nasdaq, S&P 500 and the Banking Index (BKX)





Trend Table

No changes

TrendNasdaqS&P 500Russell 2000
Long-TermDownDownDown
IntermediateUpUpUp
Short-termDownDownDown

(+) Indicates an upward reclassification today
(-) Indicates a downward reclassification today
Lat Indicates a Lateral trend

*** I'm simply using the indices' relations to their 200, 50 and 10-day moving averages to tell me the long, intermediate and short-term trends, respectively.

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"Remember that good trading is all about managing risk. If you are entering a position without knowing where you are getting out when you're wrong, then you're sunk before you begin." ~ Chairman MaoXian
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This page contains a single entry by Michael published on May 17, 2009 10:16 PM.

February 17th Recap: Banking Index at a New All-Time Low was the previous entry in this blog.

May 18, 2009 Stock Market Recap is the next entry in this blog.

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