May 20, 2009 Stock Market Recap

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It's looking like the oversold bounce has run its course already. The Nasdaq and S&P both peaked just shy of their May highs today before rolling over on higher volume. There were also hundreds of bearish candlesticks made by individual stocks today. That makes me think that the buyers have exhausted themselves in the short term and that this week will end sideways at best. Despite all the bearish candlesticks I saw little that I'd call an outright short. I'd want those stocks to at least break the uptrends that started last week before jumping on them. Absent some bad news I just don't expect that to happen in the next couple of days as volume shoud dry up ahead of the long weekend...




Trend Table

A couple of downgrades to short-term trends today...

TrendNasdaqS&P 500Russell 2000
Long-TermLatDownDown
IntermediateUpUpUp
Short-termUpLat(-)Lat(-)

(+) Indicates an upward reclassification today
(-) Indicates a downward reclassification today
Lat Indicates a Lateral trend

*** I'm simply using the indices' relations to their 200, 50 and 10-day moving averages to tell me the long, intermediate and short-term trends, respectively.

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Quoted

"I never try to buy a bottom or sell a top. Even if you manage to pick the bottom, the market can end up sitting there for years and tying up your capital. You don't want to have a position before a move has started." ~ Randy McKay
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This page contains a single entry by Michael published on May 20, 2009 8:31 PM.

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